2016-2012 years Real estate situation change analysis
Real estate is the leading industry of the national economy in China , in the modern social economic life plays a vital role. The growth mode of real estate is speed to pay attention to the scale of lay particular stress on benefit. Nowadays, applying the data of 2016-2012 years of China we can to analyze the change of real estate situation.
- Chinas real estate management and development
|
year |
Floor Space of Commercialized Builidings sold (10000sq.m) |
Floor Space of Commercialized Builidings sold Growth rate(%) |
Total sale of Commercialize Buildings (10000 yuan) |
Total sale of Commercialize Buildings Growth rate |
|
2016 |
61857.07 |
11.48% |
20826.96 |
18.49% |
|
2017 |
77354.72 |
25.05% |
29889.12 |
43.52% |
|
2018 |
65969.83 |
-14.72% |
25068.18 |
-16.13% |
|
2019 |
94755.00 |
43.63% |
44355.17 |
76.93% |
|
2020 |
104764.65 |
10.56% |
52721.24 |
18.86% |
Form the two tables, we can analysis Chinas real estate form two hands.
Macro analysis:
Macro control of real estate properties and characteristics:
Nowadays both consumer goods and real estate investment, in the national economy has an important position. Governments will be in different degree of the real estate market in macroeconomic regulation, intervene according to market the development degree of the different and different. In view of the current real estate market, because of the investments is too large and the real estate prices rise too fast, the government give some adjusting Policy to control Chinas real estate .(a).combination market regulation policy and administrative control (b) the central and local policy are synchronous coordinate
Microscopic analysis:
In 2016, In order to alleviate warms up again real estate s , the government put more attention to turn to the housing structure .As is known to us, since 2016 to 2020, the completed investment by enterprise for estate makets can increasd year after year. And was sold more and more, From 61857.07 million yuan to rise 104764.65 million yuan. On the one hand, we can understand that the real estate investment accounts for total investment in fixde assets in the whole country by more than the previous yeas, hence, it increase can make more efferct to adcance that total investment in fixde assets in the whole country increased year by year . we can attention 2019, there is a inflation point, form 2019 to 2020, the residence increase more faster than other year. Why? There are a lot of international factors, on the one hand, after the 2018 financial crisis, the dollar is still in the ascending phase, the global economic crisis is still bogged down , the inflation has become a consensus global monetary liquidity release in 2019.On the other hand, Economic growth depend on real estate situation are stable and the real estatersquo;s growth have a good affect on economic.
- Chinas real estate market of the specific trend
Policy: Central adhere regulation does not shake,reasonable requirement protected
- First, the prices will return to rational gradually, If the relevant control policies timely and effective, to resolve the current real estate bubble risk and promote its healthy development, It can be achieve transition smoothly; while if real estate according to current trends in advance, it is depend on.
- Affordable housing will be strengthened. China will increase affordable housing construction as known to us year by year
- Prices slowly return to reasonable price. Nowadays, current prices have reached a peak, year after year, with the economic development and Industrial adjustment, the price wil be reasonable. For instance we can see this year, the first quarter of 2012,to further consolidate control achievements , promote real estate reasonable regression , the central government has repeatedly stressed the insist on real estate regulation not be moved .
三、 Trend of the stock situation——(万科地产)
05-22 on Tuesday the latest price:9.01 volume:4578(hand) turnover:412.45(ten thousand yuan) average:8.89
Important date
Data sources:http://www.eastmoney.com/
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
|
|
Operating income （$one million） |
35526.61 |
40991.78 |
48881.01 |
50713.85 |
71782.75 |
|
Operating income growth rate（%） |
15.38% |
19.25% |
3.70% |
41.50% |
|
|
Net income （$one million） |
4844.24 |
4033.17 |
5329.74 |
8839.61 |
11599.61 |
|
Net income growth rate（%） |
-16.74% |
32.15% |
65.85% |
31.22% |
|
|
EPS(yuan) |
0.48 |
0.64 |
0.87 |
short-term debt paying ability analysis
|
Short term debt paying ability |
|
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2016-2021年房地产形势变化分析 房地产业是我国国民经济的主导产业，在现代社会经济生活中起着至关重要的作用。房地产的增长方式是快、重规模、偏重效益。现在，我们可以利用2012-2016年中国的数据来分析房地产形势的变化。
从这两个表中，我们可以从两个方面来分析中国的房地产。 宏观分析: 房地产宏观调控特性及特点: 如今无论是消费品还是房地产投资，在国民经济中都有着重要的地位。政府会在不同程度上对房地产市场进行宏观调控，根据市场发展程度的不同而进行干预。针对当前房地产市场,因为投资太大,房地产价格上涨过快,政府给一些调整控制中国的房地产政策。(a) .combination市场监管政策和行政控制(b)是同步协调中央和地方政策 微观分析: 2016年，为了缓解房地产市场的再次升温，政府将更多的注意力转向了住房结构。据我们所知，从2016年到2020年，企业对房地产市场的完成投资可以逐年增加。并售出越来越多，从61857.07亿元增加到10476465万元。一方面,我们可以理解,房地产投资占全国固定资产投资总额超过前一年,因此, 它的增加对全国固定资产投资的逐年增加有更大的促进作用。我们可以注意到2019年，有一个通货膨胀点，从2019年到2020年，住宅增长比其他年份更快。为什么?国际因素有很多，一方面，2018年金融危机后，美元仍处于升势阶段，全球经济危机仍在停滞，通胀已成为2019年全球货币流动性释放的共识。另一方面，经济增长依赖于房地产形势的稳定，房地产的增长对经济有良好的影响。
政策:中央坚持调控不动摇，合理要求保护
三、趋势股票的情况——(万科地产) 周二05-22日最新价格:9.01成交量:4578(手)成交量:412.45(万元)均价:8.89 数据来源:http://www.eastmoney.com/
短期偿债能力分析
2012年第一季度，万科销售额下降，销售额同比下降10%，对此，万科企业将调整销售策略，降价促销力度继续扩大，手段更加多样化。给地、万科给地仍谨慎态度，继续采取较少支出。资本资金方面，仅存款和预支收入同比下降，自筹资金占比继续改善。 利润
随着中国经济实力的不断扩大,科学技术的快速发展,房地产企业不再是一个简单的整个产业链条节点,但把他们的关键技术和核心竞争力,企业的产业布局完整产业链上游和下游方向扩张
日来源:http://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/ 据了解，该企业在2019-2021年期间，各项指标均出现下降，如收款营业额从68.53下降到57.19。一般应收账款周转率越高越好。说明我们的收货速度好，平均收货周期短。库存周转率越高，说明企业销售增长的数量越多，销售能力越好。但我们可以看到，保利地产的库存周转率下降，说明销售下降。总资产周转率也有所下降，虽然规模不大，但仍说明企业应采取措施提高资产的利用率和去除未使用的冗余资产 从整体上看，房地产与国民经济的发展比是正相关的，只要我国经济稳定增长，政府宏观调控得当，房价就不会出现太大的波动。有限的土地资源是房地产价格上涨的激励因素，而追期的土地价格上涨，推动了房地产价格上涨的态势。一方面，开发商为了提高房地产品位，打造品牌，将导致房地产市场的崛起;另一方面，随着国家经济的发展和人民收入的提高，对住房的需求，越来越强，但在市场以及国家政策的调控下，房价的增长，越来越稳定。
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